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25 Nov

What is the Best Mortgage Rate?

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What is the “Best Mortgage Rate” ?

Comparing-best-mortgage-ratesIt’s not synonymous with the “lowest mortgage rate.”

The best mortgage ratecorresponds to the mortgage and advice that saves (and in some cases makes) you the most amount of money long-term.

Mortgage professionals routinely advise, “It’s not all about the rate.” To some, that sounds like evil sales-speak meant to boost commissions. The reality is that mortgage flexibility, contract restrictions and advice all have a definitive impact on borrowing costs. And most people don’t discover how much impact until after their mortgage closes.

That said, consumers are obliged to negotiate the very best deal they can. Three years ago, we asked ourselves, what kind of mortgage comparison website would we want if we were shopping for a mortgage ourselves? We thought up RateSpy.com.

RateSpy-com-400pxRateSpy’s edge is data, lots and lots of rate data — more so than most other Canadian rate comparison sites combined.

Now, why on earth would someone need access to 3,000 mortgage rates and 300+ lenders, you ask? It boils down to probability.

At any given time, different mortgage providers are motivated to offer more heavily discounted rates. They may have:

  • Surplus liquidity (e.g., a credit union with excess deposits),
  • A need to replace assets in securitization programs (which is why we see big discounts on mortgages with odd terms, like 3.4 years), or
  • Internal volume targets that haven’t been met, thus encouraging more competitive pricing.

By definition, the more lenders and brokers one has to compare, the higher the probability of finding a lender motivated to discount below the market.

Of course, once you find a low-rate provider, that doesn’t mean its rate entails the lowest borrowing costs. Asking the right questions is mandatory to ensure the mortgage balances renewal risk with interest savings, and lets you make changes down the road—penalty free. This mortgage rate & features checklist can serve as a guide in that respect.

trap,  catchFor these reasons, the interest rate alone can be a misleading number. If your lender or mortgage broker is quoting you a rate 10-15 basis points higher than what you’ve found online, it means nothing until you compare the features, restrictions and speed/quality of service from both providers

Our responsibility

Mortgage shoppers are, and will continue, flocking to rate comparison websites. But the information on these sites is vastly inadequate at the moment. Why, for example, don’t rate comparison sites speak to the penalty facing consumers if they break the mortgage early? Variations in penalty calculations can, and do, cost borrowers thousands more than small rate differences.

We have a responsibility to help consumers find the best overall deal, not just the best rate. The best deal factors in things like term selection, penalty cost, refinance restrictions, porting flexibility, advice on properly structuring an application, advice on building equity and so on.

Every Canadian rate comparison site I’ve seen underperforms in these areas. Even ours…for now. Our mission is to address these information deficiencies so consumers can identify the right combination of rate savings, flexibility and advice in an objective forum with no sales pressure.

Thereafter, we have to make it easier for folks to find competent mortgage professionals for a second opinion. Think about it. If you don’t have a trusted referral, where do you look to find a great broker or banker? How do you know the person you’re calling has the tenure, experience, qualifications and competitiveness to serve you best? Most existing advisor directories help you screen by little more than company, province or city.

Expect mortgage comparison sites to significantly evolve along these lines in 2014.


Sidebar: Rate comparison sites, in their present form, cater only to AAA fully-qualifying clients. Subprime,business-for-self and investor clients are a whole different conversation. There is currently no good mortgage comparison site for these customers, making knowledgeable mortgage advisors even more essential.


Rob McLister, CMT

27 Sep

How to better qualify for a mortgage

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How To Better Qualify For A Mortgage

Tips to qualify for a mortgage

Recently my partner and I spoke with a local mortgage agent to see if we qualify for a mortgage. Since we’re both newly self-employed and carry some debt, we knew it was iffy, but we wanted to know where we stood. Most importantly, we wanted to know what we could do to make ourselves more desirable candidates in the coming year. Here’s what we learned.

The Deets On Our Debt Load

My partner and I sat down with Rob Campbell of Verico, the Mortgage Wellness Group, Inc., and he walked us through the process. First things first, he asked about our debt load. Together, we have a car loan and a student loan. The car loan, we learned, is considered “bad debt,” while the student loan is considered “good debt” (if there can be such a thing). I guess the thinking is that “bad debt” sets you back financially, while “good debt” helps to move you forward.

Asking Hard Questions About Our Income

Next, Rob had a look at our income and our savings. Both my partner and I are self-employed, so when it comes to regular income, our case is a bit trickier. Essentially, we’ll just have to jump through a few more hoops than another couple might have to. Finally, Rob took a look at our credit scores. They weren’t bad, but they could definitely stand some improvement. We had enough active trade lines, as in, we could show a history of debt repayment (most lenders require at least two active trade lines that have been active for more than one year).

It’s Not Just What You Owe… But How You Owe It

In order to qualify for a mortgage, lenders will look at your debt to income ratio (DTI). Debts include credit card debt and any loans you may have, including student loans, car loans and personal loans. Your income is what you earn on a monthly basis. If your income fluctuates from month to month, your mortgage agent will consider your income for the past two years and take a one-month average. Next, he or she will divide your total monthly debt obligations by your total monthly income. In order to qualify for a mortgage, you’ll want this number to fall somewhere between 28 and 44 per centSome lenders will allow borrowers to have a debt to income ratio higher than that, but is that really something you want? Probably not.

How To Make Yourself A Better Candidate For A Mortgage

My partner and I walked away knowing that we had some work to do. First of all, in order to improve our credit scores, we’d have to make sure all of our bills were paid on time – every single month. In the past, we’ve let them slide from time to time. We didn’t know it, but doing so has affected our credit scores.

Next, we need to lower our debt. We both have credit cards that need paying down, and that car loan has got to go. There’s not much you can do about a student loan, but since it’s not considered “bad debt,” it’s not really a problem. Finally, if possible, we have to work to increase our income (I know, I know – isn’t that what we all want?). We both know that we could pull up our socks and get serious about saving, which we haven’t done in the past. Part of the plan is also to set aside money each week – automatically – so we don’t even notice it leaving our accounts.

Test Drive Your Mortgage Pro

In the end, although the answer wasn’t what we wanted, my partner and I are glad we explored our options. Visiting him in person allowed us to “test drive” our mortgage agent, so to speak, to make sure that he was a good fit for us. Personally, I think it’s important that you feel comfortable with the person you’re going to be working with. Plus, Rob says that it’s a good idea to run a few “rough numbers,” so you know what you have to do to prepare ahead of time. He was able to walk us through the process, so we know what to expect in the near future – and what we need to work on. It feels good to be on the right track. Before long, we’ll have a home to call our own, and we’ll be comfortable paying for it when it the time comes.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
27 Aug

Why there is no reason to panic about rising rates

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Why there’s no reason to panic about rising rates

 

Garry Marr | 13/08/26 | Last Updated: 13/08/26 5:42 PM ET
More from Garry Marr | @DustyWallet

There is a simple answer to all this hysteria about mortgage rates going up.There is a simple answer to all this hysteria about mortgage rates going up. Don’t lock in your rate.

I know it’s almost heresy to have a floating rate in a mortgage world dictated by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, who thinks nothing about calling up the banks and telling them their rates are too low.

But the reality is that a variable rate mortgage tied to prime can still be had for as little as 2.55% from some major institutions while the comparable five-year fixed closed rate is 3.49%.

I know. The Risk. Really? The Bank of Canada’s key lending rate, which prime is tied to, hasn’t moved in three years and some economists maintain it won’t be moving until 2015.

“It’s a big, big change going from 2.89% to 3.79%,” says Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist with CIBC World Markets, who expects there to be some rush from consumers to get into the market in the short-term. “There will be more and more people locking in.”

There has been a big jump in mortgage rates to match what has happened with long-term bond yield but it comes down to about 50 basis points. If half a percentage point is going to drive you out of the market, it is time you saved more money to buy a house. The sky is falling at 4% is not based on any historical reality.

But if you want a low rate and are willing to roll the dice, the variable product is out there and expect it to become that much more enticing over the coming months as the interest rate gap widens.

As the yield curve flattened, it didn’t require much thought to lock in. If your financial institution will give you the same rate for five years at 3% or 2.8% (discounts on prime were lower at one point) to begin with and the chance rates will rise, the risk to save 20 basis points is not worth it.

The market showed that consumers were making the only sane choice. The Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals found in its last survey that fixed rate mortgages were 85% of new origination. That’s well above the historical average.

The narrow gap drove people away from variable rate products as much as government policy. One of Mr. Flaherty’s subtle changes to mortgage rules was to force people to qualify based on the five-year posted rate which is now 5.14%. However, if you secured a fixed rate product for five years or longer you could use the much lower rate on your contract which made it easier for those consumers to qualify and borrow more money.

Matthew Sherwood for National Post

Matthew Sherwood for National PostThe Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals found in its last survey that fixed rate mortgages were 85% of new origination.

But the spread is widening and today’s gap is more the historical norm, says York University Prof. Moshe Milevsky. Mr. Milevsky is the usually unnamed author behind a report that says you do better going with variable about 88% of the time. The report was done a few years ago and has not been quoted much in today’s low long-term rate environment.

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“Look at the premium now. There has always been periods over the past 40 years where this thing widens,” says Mr. Milevsky. “This one of the larger ones because of the steepening of the yield curve. On the short end they are holding the curve down and the Bank of Canada sees no indication they will be raising [the overnight rate]. On the long end you have the bond market. Who is going to win? The Bank of Canada or the bond market? Place your bets.”

Before you step to the betting window consider the cost of locking in. Let’s use a 25-year amortization and a $500,000 mortgage with 2.55% vs. 3.49%. Over five years, the variable rate product would cost you $58,752.99 in interest. The locked in rate would mean $80,943.67 in interest. That’s one expensive insurance policy.

“It’s abnormal to have the same rate on variable and fixed. We are going back to normal,” says Prof. Milevsky, who thinks the gap will widen. “Nothing has changed, you have to look at your personal balance sheet [to decide if you can handle the risk].”

Vince Gaetano, a principal at monstermortgage.ca, says banks are working hard to “scare” people to lock in. He doesn’t think long-term rates are going to move much further up but on the short-end he thinks there’s going be more room to discount off of prime.

It’s important to remember that the discount you negotiate off of prime on your variable rate product is what you have to live with for the term of the contract, often five years.

“There is a real opportunity if you are disciplined to take advantage of a variable rate,” says Mr. Gaetano. “I think the key is make your payment [based on higher rate] and you will hammer your mortgage down aggressively.”

And, once you’ve done that, a raising rate environment is not all the scary.

12 Jun

Shocker! Couples buy homes before Wedding!

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Shocker! Couples buy homes before wedding

 

buyersA new study from Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC says that about one in four married couples between the ages of 18 to 34 purchased their first home together before their wedding date, compared to 14 per cent of those ages 45 and older. According to the U.S. online survey, 35 per cent of all married couples purchased their first home together by their second wedding anniversary, and 80 per cent of married homeowners who purchased their home while married said it did more to strengthen their relationship than any other purchase they made together.

“While life goals and expectations continue to weigh on young couples, their views of homeownership are transcending their plans of marriage and starting a family, creating a direct effect on the patterns of buying a home altogether,” says Robi Ludwig, a psychotherapist and Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC lifestyle correspondent.  “What we’re seeing is that young couples are switching up the order and purchasing their first home regardless of whether or not they have set a wedding date. This is a huge movement within today’s culture. While younger generations may be focusing more on their career, and in turn waiting longer to get married and have children, they are not delaying their dream of homeownership.”

Some other survey highlights:

* More than one in three married homeowners purchased their first home together by their second wedding anniversary.

* Only 16 per cent of married adults responding to the survey had not purchased a home together with their current spouse.

* 80 per cent said purchasing a home with their spouse did more to strengthen their relationship as a couple and family than any other purchase they have made together.

* Over one-third of married homeowners (35 per cent) wish they had taken the plunge (into homeownership) sooner than they actually did.

15 May

Soft landing still likely

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Soft landing still likely, conference told

Kiki Sauriol-RoodeRecently Genworth Canada hosted a half-day seminar for Realtors and mortgage industry professionals. The seminar was held in Mississauga and broadcast live across Canada via webcast. Craig Alexander, chief economist at TD Group, delivered the keynote speech about the current state of Canada’s economy and real estate market. His presentation was followed by a review of Genworth Canada’s annual Homeownership Study – a survey that looks at homebuyer trends and behaviour and financial fitness levels of Canadians.

The results of the survey were discussed in a panel discussion featuring Phil Soper, president and CEO of Royal LePage, Stuart Levings, COO of Genworth Canada, Henrietta Ross, CEO of Canadian Association of Credit Couselling Services and David McDonald of Environics Research Group. Following this discussion, Paul Belanger, co-chair of the Financial Services Regulatory Group at Blakes LLP and Mark Tamburro of Get A Better Mortgage Inc., deliberated over a number of probing regulatory issues.

The following provides a summary of key take-aways from the presentations and panel discussions:

* Canada has out-performed the U.S. during the economic recovery.

* The Canadian economy is expected to deliver moderate economic growth in 2013 and 2014.

* A soft landing is expected in Canadian real estate.  Home sales have fallen in response to the tightening of mortgage insurance rules and slower economic growth, but there has not been a price correction (outside of Vancouver). This reflects the fact that listings have declined in tandem with sales.  The result is balanced market conditions in most Canadian cities.

* The effects of the recent tightening of mortgage insurance rules will abate with time. There is no catalyst for a major correction in real estate, as Canada’s labour market will remain healthy and interest rates will remain low.

* Consumers have reduced their willingness to take on additional debt. This will constrain household spending, but it is a healthy outcome and spending will likely continue to advance at roughly the pace of income growth.

* TD Bank does not expect interest rates to rise until late 2014 to early 2015. The exception would be if the housing market rebounds and it leads to acceleration in debt growth, in which case the Bank of Canada could be forced to raise interest rates sooner or the government could tighten mortgage lending rules further.  An option that does not get attention, but could be prudent, is a change in the qualifying interest rate.

* People are putting more money down, but people are also buying smaller homes. Both are indications that people are opting for more affordable mortgages.

* There is still a need for increased financial literacy among Canadians (27 per cent do not even know what their credit rating is).

* The Canadian government was concerned with a rising debt-to-income ratio and changes to mortgage regulations in the past few years were a quick way to address the issue.

* This is likely not the end of changes in the mortgage industry; much depends on how changes made to date continue to affect the industry.

Kiki Sauriol-Roode is VP, strategic alliances for Genworth Canada. To view a replay of the live webcast of the seminar or find out more about Homeownership Education Week visit www.genworth.ca.

 

 
7 May

Not all new rules are old rules

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May 04, 2013

Not All New Rules Are Old Rules

mortgage-rules-2012In the last four and a half years, federal regulators have instituted more than two dozen mortgage-related policies and regulations. It’s a well-intended attempt to engineer a market correction (the proverbial “soft landing”) and add stability to the housing market.

There’s been much debate over the extent of recent rule tightening. But only time can tell if Ottawa’s policy-induced downturn takes hold, and if it was the best course for the economy.

Despite that, many armchair analysts have already taken their position without seeing the outcome. Some of these folks have downplayed the array of recent mortgage restrictions, arguing that they are simply old rules made new again.

Market share analysisThat is partly true for things like amortization length, down payment size and debt service ratios.

But many of the new mortgage rules actually are new, or they haven’t applied for over a decade. Here are a few examples:

  • Mandatory qualification rates on all terms less than five years
    • Someone getting a 4-year fixed, for example, must now prove he/she can pay an interest rate of 5.14%. If a 5-year term is chosen instead, that bar drops to ~2.89%.
  • Stiffer documentation requirements—especially for self-employed borrowers
  • Various securitization-related restrictions
  • 80% loan-to-valuerefinances
    • 90% LTV refis with unrestricted use of funds were introduced in 2001. Prior to that, homeowners could use their home equity “for housing-related purposes such as renovations,” says CMHC.
  • Stricter treatment of rental income
    • Generally speaking, borrowers must now use less of their rental income to qualify for a mortgage.
  • Stricter credit score requirements (with fewer common sense exceptions)

Some of the above rules are clearly sensible and necessary, but all of them are brand new or “newish.” For that reason, it is inaccurate to characterize recent policy tightening as merely bringing us back to the way things used to be.

(As a side note, some forget that we used to have 35-year amortizations for first-time buyers in the 70s, a higher frequency of second mortgages behind conventional first mortgages, and no price ceilings on low down payment mortgages.

In any case, each of the above new regulations have combined with re-instated debt ratio, down payment amortization, rental, and HELOC rules to slow the market even further. Hopefully Ottawa is content to see how real estate and the economy respond before adding more pages to its rulebook.


Rob McLister, CMT

4 Apr

Canadian Housing Still Affordable

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It’s difficult to scan the latest news without coming across one headline or another that talks about Canada’s housing market being on the verge of collapse or its bubble bursting.

 But the true market experts beg to differ. That’s why it’s important to look at the facts.

 According to BMO Capital Markets, an examination of valuations and affordability across the country – not just in Toronto and Vancouver – suggests less risk of a nationwide hard landing than implied by many headlines.

 In fact, aside from detached properties in Vancouver, Toronto and Victoria, the other major cities BMO Capital Markets studies appear affordable for median homebuyers.

 In other words, mortgage payments and other housing-related costs do not exceed 39% of family income (that’s the guideline established by the government in July 2012 for obtaining an insured mortgage).

 In addition, with the exception of Vancouver’s condos, Canada’s major cities would remain affordable even if mortgage rates rose two percentage points to more normal levels.

 Nationwide, mortgage payments on the average-priced house consume a moderate 28% of household income, or 23% for people living outside Vancouver and Toronto, says BMO. Keep in mind that national mortgage-service cost ratio peaked at 44% in 1989 and 36% in 2007.

 Most important, the current 28% matches the long-term norm, suggesting that rising income and falling mortgage rates have largely offset the deterioration in affordability caused by higher home prices.

 To pump life into the economy, the Bank of Canada (BoC) has kept Canada’s overnight rate at just 1% since September 2010. According to BMO, a normalized overnight rate would be closer to 3.5% given the inflation target of about 2%.

 RBC Economics also notes that, while home prices are currently elevated, exceptionally low interest rates keep the ownership cost burden manageable for the most part.

 While affordability levels generally do not appear to pose a threat to the Canadian housing market at the moment, RBC cautions things could be radically different if interest rates were to move rapidly and significantly higher, explaining that exceptionally low mortgage rates have been the main factor preventing affordability from reaching dangerous levels in recent years.

 Thankfully, RBC sees continued lower interest rates, expecting the BoC to leave its overnight rate unchanged at 1% throughout 2013 and raise it only gradually starting in 2014.

 The CD Howe Institute’s monetary policy council is recommending the BoC keep the target at 1% until March 2014.

 RBC believes the eventual rise in rates will take place at a time when the Canadian economy is on a stronger footing, thereby generating solid household income gains, which, in turn, provide some offset to any negative effects from rising rates.

 If interest rates remain low, income continues to rise and home prices stabilize in 2013 – as BMO anticipates – fears of a deep housing correction should recede.

 With mortgage rates remaining at all-time lows, now’s a great time to get a new mortgage and/or take measures to accelerate your mortgage payments while rates are still low. There are many ways to pay your mortgage off quicker such as increasing the frequency of your payments from monthly to weekly or every other week, or making extra or lump sum payments.

 

7 Mar

BoC decision: Lower for even longer

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BoC Decision: Lower for Even Longer

Low credit interest rateCanadian macro-economists are mostly in agreement that the overnight rate should go nowhere in the next 9-12+ months. And the Bank of Canada gave no indication today that such projections are off the mark.

The Bank left Canada’s core lending rate unchanged at 1% for the 29th straight month, with no change in sight.

Part of the Bank’s reasoning is reflected in these comments from its statement:

  • “Total CPI inflation has been somewhat more subdued than projected in the January MPR as a result of weaker core inflation and lower mortgage interest costs…”
  • “The Bank expects…the debt-to-income ratio [to stabilize] near current levels.”
  • “…Residential investment is expected to decline further from historically high levels.”
  • “With continued slack in the Canadian economy, the muted outlook for inflation, and the more constructive evolution of imbalances in the household sector, the considerable monetary policy stimulus currently in place will likely remain appropriate for a period of time, after which some modest withdrawal will likely be required, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target.”

Bank-of-Canada-Benchmark-RateFor an excellent deciphering of the Bank’s press release, click here.

Today’s announcement shed little new light on the timing of the next prime rate change. Of course the BoC is still suggesting that the next rate move is up, but others, like David Madani of Capital Economics, aren’t so sure.

On Sunday, Madani said the “inevitable” rate hikes that so many predict could actually be pre-empted by policy loosening. He noted:

“Given the recent spat of weak economic data, below target range inflation and the presumably widening output gap, the market’s ruling out of interest rate cuts makes little sense.”

For now, as long as the 5-year bond yield stays under or within the psychological 1.50% to 1.60% range, there’s little danger of any notable rise in rates. After this morning’s rate announcement, bond yields remained flat at 1.32%.

The next BoC rate meeting is April 17.

29 Jan

Title Insurance Tidbits

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Title Insurance Tidbits

Title-insuranceTitle insurance is usually an afterthought for people getting a mortgage. But it’s becoming more of a decision point since so many lenders now require it.

The purpose of title insurance is to protect you if there’s a problem with your title. Those problems can turn into expensive nightmares in the small chance that you encounter them. Examples include ownership disputes on your property, title fraud, un-discharged liens, encroachments, zoning issues, survey problems, property tax arrears and so on.

Real estate lawyer Bob Aaron wrote a recent overview of title insurance here. He says, “Most real estate lawyers today regard title insurance as a critical component…and will usually not close a purchase without it.”

And no, lawyers don’t get big kickbacks for pushing title insurance. Aarons says lawyers “are not permitted to get referral fees/commissions” on title insurance. Lawyers recommend it because it protects the homeowner, limits the lawyer’s liability and makes closing more efficient.

*******

There are two broad types of title insurance:

  1. Homeowner policies, which:     
    • Cover the homeowner
    • Last as long as you own the property
    • Are priced based on the property value
  2. Lender policies, which:     
    • Protect the lender’s interest in your mortgage
    • Last as long as you have your mortgage
    • Are priced based on the mortgage size

The cost of title insurance varies widely depending on the location, type and value of the transaction. It starts at roughly $150-$350, but can climb from there. Here’s a calculator to estimate policy cost from FCT (First Canadian Title), Canada’s top provider of title insurance.

Once you pay for title insurance, you can often avoid paying for it again. Here are some cases where that’s true:

  • You purchase a homeowner policy and stay in your home (Homeowner policies generally cover your property for as long as you own it.)
  • You pick a lender that doesn’t require a lender title policy (Many do, but some don’t.)
  • You refinance and choose a lender that pays for its own mortgage-only title policy (A broker can tell you which lenders do this. Keep in mind, a lender-only policy doesn’t protect you.)
  • You switch lenders and your existing policy is “ported” to the new lender (If it can’t be ported, many lenders will pay the new title insurance premium for you on a straightforward switch.)

Reta-Coburn-FNFTitle insurance can be switched to a new lender only under certain conditions, says Reta Coburn, president of FNF Canada, the Canadian division of the world’s largest title insurance organization. “Loan policies for lenders are transferable when the original mortgage is not being discharged from title and is simply being transferred by way of a registered assignment of mortgage,” she says.

The stipulations are that, “The original mortgage security must remain unchanged and no additional funds can be advanced, unless provided for under the original mortgage terms and conditions. The date of policy is the date of registration of the original mortgage, so the new lender assumes the coverage under the policy of the original lender at the date of that mortgage registration.”

Two related notes:

  • The loan-to-value cannot increase if a title policy is being transferred to a new lender.
  • Lenders don’t usually accept assignments of collateral charges, so for practical purposes a title policy on a collateral charge mortgage isn’t generally transferrable.

eric_haslett_FCTEric Haslett, LLB, VP Residential Title Insurance at FCT, adds that: “Provided the new lender agrees to take an assignment of the existing mortgage, the…title insurance policy will follow the mortgage to the new lender and no additional title insurance premium is charged.”

But lenders don’t always accept a mortgage that a prior lender has registered. That’s because, as Haslett puts it, “The new lender is stuck with whatever the language is in the existing lender’s mortgage documents.”

And here’s an interesting side note:

Haslett says, “New lenders often don’t request assignments from an existing lender because (doing so) provides that lender an opportunity to…retain the borrower.”  If the old mortgage is discharged and a new mortgage is registered, however, “The existing lender often doesn’t know about the borrower moving until it’s too late.”

In addition, when clients change lenders using a refinance instead of an assignment, the party requesting the discharge statement (from the existing lender) doesn’t need to disclose the new lender’s name. As a result, the existing lender cannot see who they are competing against.

Haslett adds that, “If a lender wants the old mortgage discharged and a new mortgage registered, it will attract a new title insurance policy in the name of the new lender and result in a title insurance premium.”


Rob McLister, CMT

28 Dec

Why the housing market won’t crash in 2013

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Why the housing market won’t crash in 2013  

LARRY MACDONALD

Special to The Globe and Mail

Published Friday, Dec. 28 2012, 4:00 AM EST 

The 12-month change in the Teranet-National Bank House Price Index has decelerated in recent months to 3.4 per cent, led by declines in Vancouver (-1.4 per cent) and Victoria (-1.7 per cent). Some people interpret this weakness as a sign that a housing crash has started – see, for example, the Canadian Business article “Canada’s housing crash begins.” I don’t see a collapse in 2013 for several reasons. One is the highly supportive monetary environment.

In the case of the U.S. housing boom from 2003 to 2007, the overvaluation was pricked after the Federal Reserve dramatically tightened monetary policy to cool off an overheated economy. This catalyst is absent in Canada as 2013 commences.

Indeed, monetary policies in Canada, the U.S., Japan, China and elsewhere around the world are dialled to the opposite extreme. They are hyper-expansionary, with interest rates at record lows and printing presses running like never before.

This means that Canada and other countries should continue generating growth in jobs and income. Since higher employment and income typically support housing markets, prices are not likely to fall much in 2013. Or if they do, they shouldn’t stay down for long.

The crash crowd says Canadian houses are overvalued on the basis of the price-to-income ratio. So they fear the process of mean reversion will take prices down by 25 per cent or more. But with so much monetary stimulus in the system, the price-to-income ratio should also be normalized by income increases.

Interest rates may begin edging up later in 2013. They shouldn’t threaten the housing market because income and employment will be climbing as well, creating offsetting demand for housing. Similarly, the one-off impact of a tightening in mortgage rules during 2012 should not be cause for a serious setback.

There are other reasons for expecting a crash to be a no-show in 2013. Suffice it to say that the monetary cycle suggests a soft-landing scenario. This is not to deny there are pockets of extreme overvaluation or oversupply, where the risk of substantial correction remains. Cases in point could be Vancouver housing and Toronto condos